Institut für Physik und Meteorologie

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Browsing Institut für Physik und Meteorologie by Classification "620"

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    Estimating the technical wind energy potential of Kansas that incorporates the effect of regional wind resource depletion by wind turbines
    (2024) Minz, Jonathan; Kleidon, Axel; Mbungu, Nsilulu T.; Minz, Jonathan; Biospheric Theory and Modelling Group, Max Planck Institute of Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany; Kleidon, Axel; Biospheric Theory and Modelling Group, Max Planck Institute of Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany; Mbungu, Nsilulu T.; Research Institute of Sciences & Engineering (RISE), University of Sharjah, Sharjah, United Arab Emirates
    Energy scenarios require realistic estimates of technical wind energy potentials – estimates for how much electricity can be generated by wind turbines given a certain level of deployed capacity within a region. These are typically obtained using observed wind speeds, neglecting the depletion of the wind energy resource with increasing deployment at the regional scale. Here, we use the kinetic energy budget of the atmosphere (KEBA) approach to evaluate the importance of this resource depletion effect for the technical potential of Kansas, USA. To do so, we first apply the KEBA approach to a previously conducted set of numerical simulations with the Weather Research Forecasting (WRF) model. This set simulated the resource depletion effect for a range of different levels of wind turbine deployments within Kansas, which we use to test the KEBA approach. We specifically test the approach for nighttime and daytime conditions to capture the different mixing regimes of the atmospheric boundary layer. We find that KEBA can adequately capture the effect for both settings. We then extend our analysis by using ERA-5 forcing to the climatological scale. We find that this resource depletion effect increases almost linearly with the level of wind turbine deployment. Compared to previously published estimates for the technical potential for Kansas, the resource depletion effect lowers capacity factors by a third to a half. Since this resource depletion effect increases with installed capacity within a region, it is policy relevant even at relatively low deployment levels.
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    Statistical analysis of simulated spaceborne thermodynamics lidar measurements in the planetary boundary layer
    (2022) Whiteman, David N.; Di Girolamo, Paolo; Behrendt, Andreas; Wulfmeyer, Volker; Franco, Noemi
    The performance of a spaceborne Raman lidar offering measurements of water vapor, temperature, aerosol backscatter and extinction is assessed statistically by use of a lidar simulator and a global model to provide inputs for simulation. The candidate thermodynamics lidar system is envisioned to make use of a sun-synchronous, dawn/dusk orbit. Cloud-free atmospheric profiles simulated by the NASA/GSFC GEOS model for the orbit of the CALIPSO satellite on 15 July 2009 were used as input to a previously validated lidar simulator where GEOS profiles that satisfy the solar zenith angle restrictions of the dawn/dusk orbit, and are located within the Planetary Boundary Layer as defined by the GEOS model, were selected for the statistical analysis. To assess the performance of the simulated thermodynamics lidar system, measurement goals were established by considering the WMO Observing Systems Capability Analysis and Review (OSCAR) requirements for Numerical Weather Prediction. The efforts of Di Girolamo et al., 2018 established the theoretical basis for the current work and discussed many of the technological considerations for a spaceborne thermodynamics lidar. The work presented here was performed during 2017–2018 under the auspices of the NASA/GSFC Planetary Boundary Layer Science Task Group and expanded on previous efforts by considerably increasing the statistical robustness of the performance simulations and extending the statistics to include those of aerosol backscatter and extinction measurements. Further work that is currently being conducted includes Observing Systems Simulation Experiments to assess the impact of a thermodynamics lidar on global forecast improvement.