Achtung: hohPublica wurde am 18.11.2024 aktualisiert. Falls Sie auf Darstellungsfehler stoßen, löschen Sie bitte Ihren Browser-Cache (Strg + Umschalt + Entf). *** Attention: hohPublica was last updated on November 18, 2024. If you encounter display errors, please delete your browser cache (Ctrl + Shift + Del).

Browsing by Subject "Cointegration"

Type the first few letters and click on the Browse button
Now showing 1 - 2 of 2
  • Thumbnail Image
    Publication
    Modelling nonlinearities in cointegration relationships
    (2017) Schweikert, Karsten; Jung, Robert
    This thesis is concerned with the statistical modelling of long-run equilibrium relationships between economic variables. It comprises of four main chapters - each representing a standalone research paper. The connecting thread is the use of nonlinear cointegration models. More precisely: Chapter 2, Asymmetric price transmission in the US and German fuel markets: A quantile autoregression approach, proposes a new econometric model for asymmetric price transmissions using quantile regressions. Chapter 3, Are gold and silver cointegrated? New evidence from quantile cointegration, investigates the potentially nonlinear long-run relationship between gold and silver prices. Chapter 4, Testing for cointegration with SETAR adjustment in the presence of structural breaks, develops a new cointegration test with SETAR adjustment allowing for the presence of structural breaks in the equilibrium equation. Chapter 5, A Markov regime-switching model of crude oil market integration, revisits the globalization-regionalization hypothesis for the world crude oil using a Markov-switching vector error correction model.
  • Thumbnail Image
    Publication
    Testing for cointegration with threshold adjustment in the presence of structural breaks
    (2018) Schweikert, Karsten
    In this paper, we develop new threshold cointegration tests with SETAR and MTAR adjustment allowing for the presence of structural breaks in the equilibrium equation. We propose a simple procedure to simultaneously estimate the previously unknown breakpoint and test the null hypothesis of no cointegration. Thereby, we extend the well-known residual-based cointegration test with regime shift introduced by Gregory and Hansen (1996a) to include forms of nonlinear adjustment. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistics and demonstrate the finite-sample performance of the tests in a series of Monte Carlo experiments. We find a substantial decrease of power of the conventional threshold cointegration tests caused by a shift in the slope coefficient of the equilibrium equation. The proposed tests perform superior in these situations. An application to the ‘rockets and feathers’ hypothesis of price adjustment in the US gasoline market provides empirical support for this methodology.