Browsing by Subject "South-East Asia"

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Impact of rubber tree dominated land-use on biodiversity and ecosystem services in the Greater Mekong Subregion
(2017) Häuser, Inga; Sauerborn, Joachim
The present dissertation analyzes the impact of rubber tree (Hevea brasiliensis) dominated land-use on biodiversity and ecosystem services (ESS) in the Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS). Although originating from South-America natural rubber is mainly cultivated in South-East Asia. This expansion of rubber plantations affects different ESS such as carbon storage, availability and quality of water and threatens biodiversity in this highly biodiverse region. In order to analyze these impacts the first task was to give a comprehensive overview about publications concerning ESS and biodiversity in rubber cultivation systems. A thorough literature review showed that the majority of publications concentrated on single or few ESS, which does not match the demands of decision-makers. In order to make sound decisions for land-use planning or developing Payments for Ecosystem Services Schemes a holistic view including multiple services. In order to fill this knowledge gap, the second task was to analyze the impacts of rubber on the ESS carbon storage, soil erosion, water availability and water quality and economically and socially related ESS, such as income and livelihood security. Although there are still great uncertainties about carbon storage in different land-use systems there are hints that the carbon storage in rubber plantations is lower than in natural forests. Concerning erodibility, rubber plantations increase the soil erosion risk compared to natural forests. Rubber cultivation also affects the local and regional water balance. Since rubber production in monocultures requires the use of huge amounts of pesticides and chemical fertilizers which enter the aquatic system by rainfall-induced run-off, water quality for humans and aquatic organisms is as well threatened. Undoubtedly, from an economic point of view the introduction of rubber resulted in significant increases in household income and is hence a possibility to move households and communities out of poverty. However, by deciding to grow rubber, farmers are committing themselves for decades to come and are thus dependent on a single product, which exposes them to further risks. In addition, there are ecological hazards due to crop diseases, pests, unfavorable weather conditions or changes in climate. The review of studies clearly indicates that increasing rubber cultivation in the GMS is accompanied by various problems and threats to farmers and the environment. Therefore, the development of more sustainable land-use concepts is required. Concordantly, suggestions for land-use change are based on system diversification and forest restoration, which both require economic incentives for farmers. The next part of this dissertation deals with the development of a biodiversity indicator (based on selected flora and fauna species) that can be included in existing biodiversity models to show the impact that different rubber cultivation scenarios will have on various species groups. A combination of multi-species data supplemented with literature data was used and included flora, vertebrates and invertebrates. The resulting indicator was used as input into an established ESS assessment framework. Finally, a current land-use map from 2007 was compared with two scenarios. In order to get a more detailed picture, sub-groups of biodiversity were analyzed as well. First, a sub-group of “human use species” category was assessed which included only species which are directly used by humans. Second, the sub-group “red list species”, consisting of red list plants and mammals was analyzed separately to include the conservational aspect. The results showed that when considering the indices from the category “human use species” there is less of an impact between the scenarios, because medicinal plants for example are still commonly distributed within rubber plantations, albeit with different species (generalists, ruderal flora). This leads to an important conclusion: not only the decision on “what” is analyzed (biodiversity), but also “how” it is analyzed (groups of different species) considerably influences the results. To complete this dissertation the transferability of this place-based research to other regions of the world was tested to assess the relevance beyond the study area. To do this the system of land archetypes was used, which utilizes a wide range of land-use intensity metrics and incorporates simultaneously environmental and socio-economic conditions. In a first step, the ‘project archetype’ was defined, based on a synthesis of global land system indicators. For the project Sustainable Rubber Cultivation in the Mekong Region, only few of the 32 global indicators did not closely match the local reality. The transferability potential for the GMS was quite high and therefore emphasizes the importance of the project results for this huge region.
Simulating the impact of land use change and climate change on the supply of ecosystem services in a rubber-dominated watershed in Southwestern China
(2020) Thellmann, Kevin; Asch, Folkard
This cumulative PhD thesis investigates the expansion of rubber (Hevea brasiliensis Müll. Arg.) plantations and the ensuing multiple impacts on biodiversity and the supply of ecosystem services (ESS) in a mountainous watershed in Xishuangbanna Prefecture, Southwestern China. In recent decades, the study area, the Nabanhe Reserve, saw the expansion of rubber plantations and the loss of extensive forest areas, which led to a substantial decline in ESS. Workshops with regional stakeholders resulted in the development of three future land use scenarios for Nabanhe Reserve (2015 – 2040), varying in their degree of rubber expansions, management options and reforestations efforts. In the first study, the InVEST (Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs) modeling framework was used to analyze the impact of these rubber expansion scenarios on selected ESS: sediment retention, water yield, habitat quality, and carbon sequestration. In addition, a model for assessing potential rubber yields was developed and implemented in ArcGIS. The analysis also included different statistical weighting methods to include rankings for the preference of ESS from three contrasting stakeholder groups (prefecture administration, tourists, off-site citizens). The study concludes that the integrated ESS indices would be overestimated without the inclusion of the stakeholder groups. The second study introduced a new method to identify potential tipping points in the supply of ESS. Here, time-series data derived from InVEST have been combined with a sequential, data-driven algorithm (R-method) to identify potential tipping points in the supply of ESS within two contrasting scenarios of rubber expansion in Nabanhe Reserve. The tipping point analysis included hydrological, agronomical, and climate-regulation ESS, as well as multiple facets of biodiversity. The model results showed regime shifts indicating potential tipping points, which were linked to abrupt changes in rubber yields, in both scenarios and at varying spatial scales. The study concludes that sophisticated land use planning may provide benefits in the supply of ESS at watershed scale, but that potential trade-offs at sub-watershed scales should not be neglected. The third study focused on modeling hydrological ESS (water yield and sediment export) in Nabanhe Reserve under multiple scenarios of land use and climate change in order to assess how both drivers influence the supply of these ESS. Three rubber expansion scenarios were analyzed in combination with multiple climate change scenarios using the InVEST modeling framework. Simulation results showed that the effect of land use and land management decisions on water yield in Nabanhe Reserve are relatively minor (4% difference in water yield between land use scenarios), when compared to the effects that future climate change will exert on water yield (up to 15% increase or 13% decrease in water yield compared to the baseline climate). Changes in sediment export were more sensitive to land use change (15% increase or 64% decrease) in comparison to the effects of climate change (up to 10% increase). The study concludes that in the future, particularly dry years may have a more pronounced effect on the water balance in Nabanhe Reserve as the higher potential evapotranspiration increases the probability for periods of water scarcity, especially in the dry season. In conclusion, the studies showed detrimental consequences induced by rubber expansions for all assessed ESS, with the exception of rubber yields. Further continuing the trend of rubber expansions in the study area is not the best option in terms of integrated ESS supply on a landscape scale. Land use planning alternatives, such as rubber expansions restricted to suitable areas only, in combination with reforestation efforts at less suitable locations, may be used to keep crucial environmental functions intact. Policy regulations at the local level, if properly assessed with spatial models and integrated stakeholder feedback, have the potential to buffer the typical trade-off between agricultural intensification and environmental protection. The implementation of these regulations might still pose a considerable challenge. The methods introduced in this Dissertation can easily be transferred to regions facing comparable land use situations, as InVEST and a large amount of the utilized spatial datasets are freely available.