Evaluation of crop model-based simplified marginal net return maximising nitrogen application rates on site-specific level in maize

Abstract

Crop growth models such as DSSAT-CERES-Maize have proven to be useful for analysing plant growth and yield within homogenous land units. The paper presents results of newly developed model-based site-specific Soil Profile Optimisation (SPO) tools in combination with an updated version of an already published Nitrogen Prescription Model (NPM). Site-specific soil profiles were generated through an inverse modelling approach based on measured site-specific yield (point-based) and tops weight (above-ground biomass time-series) and evaluated. Site-specific soil profiles generated based only on measured yield variability were able to explain 72% (R 2 0.72) of yield variability (dependent variable) based on selected soil profile input parameters (independent variable). Site-specific soil profiles generated based on measured yield and tops variability simultaneously (multiple target variable) explained 68% of yield variability (R 2 0.68). The NPM uses the SPO generated site-specific soil profiles for economic evaluation of site-specific N application rates. NPM simulated N application rates, aiming at the maximisation of marginal net return (MNR) were 25% lower compared to the uniform N application rates with an assumed grain and N price of 0.17 and 0.3 Euro kg −1 respectively, under rainfed conditions over three years based on soil profiles generated via an inverse modelling approach only from measured yield variability (one target variable). N application rates were 28% lower when based on soil profiles generated from simultaneously included grain and tops variability in the inverse modelling approach. The results highlight the importance of site-specific fertilizer management when maximising MNR.