Business cycles in the economy and in economics : an econometric analysis

Geiger, Niels; Kufenko, Vadim

Business cycles in the economy and in economics : an econometric analysis

dc.contributor.author	Geiger, Niels	de
dc.contributor.author	Kufenko, Vadim	de
dc.date.accessioned	2024-04-08T08:51:22Z
dc.date.available	2024-04-08T08:51:22Z
dc.date.created	2015-07-09
dc.date.issued	2015
dc.description.abstract	It is sometimes pointed out that economic research is prone to move in cycles and react to particular events such as crises and recessions. The present paper analyses this issue through a quantitative analysis by answering two closely related research questions: (1) whether or not there are patterns in the economic literature on business cycles, and (2) whether or not these are correlated with movements in actual economic activity. To tackle these questions, a bibliometric analysis of key terms related to business cycle and crises theory is performed. In a second step, these results are confronted with data on actual economic developments in order to investigate the question of whether or not the theoretical literature follows trends and developments in economic data. Respective time series are detrended by the Kalman filter in order to estimate cycles. To determine the connection between economic activity and developments in the academic literature, a descriptive analysis is scrutinized by Granger causality tests. The paper also includes IRF analysis for quantitative assessment of the effects from economic to bibliometric variables. The results point towards a confirmation of the hypothesis of an effect of business cycles and crises in economic variables on discussions in the literature.	en
dc.identifier.swb	435258095
dc.identifier.uri	https://hohpublica.uni-hohenheim.de/handle/123456789/5916
dc.identifier.urn	urn:nbn:de:bsz:100-opus-10900
dc.language.iso	eng
dc.relation.ispartofseries	Schriftenreihe des Promotionsschwerpunkts Globalisierung und Beschäftigung; 46
dc.rights.license	publ-ohne-pod	en
dc.rights.license	publ-ohne-pod	de
dc.rights.uri	http://opus.uni-hohenheim.de/doku/lic_ubh.php
dc.subject	Bibliometric analysis	en
dc.subject	Business cycle theory	en
dc.subject	Empirical analysis	en
dc.subject.ddc	330
dc.subject.gnd	Konjunkturzyklus	de
dc.subject.gnd	Konjunkturtheorie	de
dc.title	Business cycles in the economy and in economics : an econometric analysis	de
dc.type.dcmi	Text	de
dc.type.dini	WorkingPaper	de
local.access	uneingeschränkter Zugriff	en
local.access	uneingeschränkter Zugriff	de
local.bibliographicCitation.publisherPlace	Universität Hohenheim	de
local.export.bibtex	@techreport{Geiger2015, url = {https://hohpublica.uni-hohenheim.de/handle/123456789/5916}, author = {Geiger, Niels and Kufenko, Vadim}, title = {Business cycles in the economy and in economics : an econometric analysis}, year = {2015}, school = {Universität Hohenheim}, series = {Schriftenreihe des Promotionsschwerpunkts Globalisierung und Beschäftigung}, }
local.export.bibtexAuthor	Geiger, Niels and Kufenko, Vadim
local.export.bibtexKey	Geiger2015
local.export.bibtexType	@techreport
local.faculty.number	3	de
local.institute.number	520	de
local.opus.number	1090
local.series.issueNumber	46
local.series.title	Schriftenreihe des Promotionsschwerpunkts Globalisierung und Beschäftigung
local.university	Universität Hohenheim	de
local.university.faculty	Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences	en
local.university.faculty	Fakultät Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften	de
local.university.institute	Institute for Economics	en
local.university.institute	Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre	de

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