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ResearchPaper
2015
Malthusian pressures : empirical evidence from a frontier economy
Malthusian pressures : empirical evidence from a frontier economy
Institute of Economics
Abstract (English)
In this paper we study Malthusian pressures in a frontier economy. Using
the empirical data on the real prices and demographic variables from 1688
to 1860 for Quebec and Montreal, we test for the existence of Malthusian
pressures. Bearing in mind the particularities of frontier economies and the
development of the Canadian economy, we conduct cointegration tests and
VARs in order to identify positive and preventive checks. The cointegration
test reveals absence of long-run equilibrium relationship between real wheat
prices, birth and death rates. Using the Bai-Perron test we find a structural
break in 1767 and divide the sample in pre- and post-conquest periods. We
find that the positive checks were operating in the years prior to the conquest
but that they faded during the nineteenth century. In the short-run,
we find that wheat prices Granger-cause fluctuations in death rates in the
pre-conquest period.
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Schriftenreihe des Promotionsschwerpunkts Globalisierung und Beschäftigung; 42
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Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences
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Institute of Economics
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English
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330 Economics
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BibTeX
@techreport{Kufenko2015,
url = {https://hohpublica.uni-hohenheim.de/handle/123456789/5885},
author = {Kufenko, Vadim and Geloso, Vincent},
title = {Malthusian pressures : empirical evidence from a frontier economy},
year = {2015},
school = {Universität Hohenheim},
series = {Schriftenreihe des Promotionsschwerpunkts Globalisierung und Beschäftigung},
}