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ResearchPaper
2007

Two-Pillar monetary policy and bootstrap expectations

Abstract (English)

The paper integrates the two-pillar Phillips curve, which explains expected inflation by the money growth trend, within a simple macro model. A Taylor-like interest rule contains also a money growth target. The model takes into account serially correlated supply and money demand shocks; the latter induce goods demand shocks, thereby establishing a feedback mechanism from money to markets which is missing in the modern New Keynesian approach. Two groups of market agents are distinguished from which one derives inflation expectations from money growth trend figures whereas the other builds rational expectations by way of learning. The inspection of output and inflation variances show that a policy of reacting to excess money growth requires precise information on shock characteristics whereas inflationgap and output-gap oriented interest policies provide more robust stabilization services.

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Notes

Publication license

Publication series

Hohenheimer Diskussionsbeiträge; 282

Published in

Faculty
Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences
Institute
Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre (bis 2010)

Examination date

Supervisor

Edition / version

Citation

DOI

ISSN

ISBN

Language
English

Publisher

Publisher place

Classification (DDC)
330 Economics

Original object

Standardized keywords (GND)

Sustainable Development Goals

BibTeX

@techreport{Spahn2007, url = {https://hohpublica.uni-hohenheim.de/handle/123456789/5131}, author = {Spahn, Heinz-Peter}, title = {Two-Pillar monetary policy and bootstrap expectations}, year = {2007}, school = {Universität Hohenheim}, series = {Hohenheimer Diskussionsbeiträge}, }
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