Qualitative modeling for bridging expert-knowledge and social-ecological dynamics of an East African savanna

dc.contributor.authorCosme, Maximilien
dc.contributor.authorHély, Christelle
dc.contributor.authorPommereau, Franck
dc.contributor.authorPasquariello, Paolo
dc.contributor.authorTiberi, Christel
dc.contributor.authorTreydte, Anna
dc.contributor.authorGaucherel, Cédric
dc.date.accessioned2024-11-06T10:17:30Z
dc.date.available2024-11-06T10:17:30Z
dc.date.issued2021de
dc.description.abstractSub-Saharan social-ecological systems are undergoing changes in environmental conditions, including modifications in rainfall pattern and biodiversity loss. Consequences of such changes depend on complex causal chains which call for integrated management strategies whose efficiency could benefit from ecosystem dynamic modeling. However, ecosystem models often require lots of quantitative information for estimating parameters, which is often unavailable. Alternatively, qualitative modeling frameworks have proved useful for explaining ecosystem responses to perturbations, while only requiring qualitative information about social-ecological interactions and events and providing more general predictions due to their validity for wide ranges of parameter values. In this paper, we propose the Ecological Discrete-Event Network (EDEN), an innovative qualitative dynamic modeling framework based on “if-then” rules generating non-deterministic dynamics. Based on expert knowledge, observations, and literature, we use EDEN to assess the effect of permanent changes in surface water and herbivores diversity on vegetation and socio-economic transitions in an East African savanna. Results show that water availability drives changes in vegetation and socio-economic transitions, while herbivore functional groups have highly contrasted effects depending on the group. This first use of EDEN in a savanna context is promising for bridging expert knowledge and ecosystem modeling.en
dc.identifier.swb1785454439
dc.identifier.urihttps://hohpublica.uni-hohenheim.de/handle/123456789/16859
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.3390/land11010042
dc.language.isoengde
dc.rights.licensecc_byde
dc.source2073-445Xde
dc.sourceLand; Vol. 11, No. 1 (2021) 42de
dc.subjectEcosystem dynamics
dc.subjectDiscrete-event model
dc.subjectQualitative modeling
dc.subjectBoolean model
dc.subjectState-and-transition model
dc.subject.ddc630
dc.titleQualitative modeling for bridging expert-knowledge and social-ecological dynamics of an East African savannaen
dc.type.diniArticle
dcterms.bibliographicCitationLand, 11 (2021), 1, 42. https://doi.org/10.3390/land11010042. ISSN: 2073-445X
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.issue1
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.journaltitleLand
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.volume11
local.export.bibtex@article{Cosme2021, url = {https://hohpublica.uni-hohenheim.de/handle/123456789/16859}, doi = {10.3390/land11010042}, author = {Cosme, Maximilien and Hély, Christelle and Pommereau, Franck et al.}, title = {Qualitative Modeling for Bridging Expert-Knowledge and Social-Ecological Dynamics of an East African Savanna}, journal = {Land}, year = {2021}, }
local.export.bibtexAuthorCosme, Maximilien and Hély, Christelle and Pommereau, Franck et al.
local.export.bibtexKeyCosme2021
local.export.bibtexType@article
local.title.fullQualitative modeling for bridging expert-knowledge and social-ecological dynamics of an East African savanna

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